Breaking: Gold May Be On The Verge Of A Waterfall-Style Decline

Dec 19 2013, 4:47pm CST | by

Breaking: Gold May Be On The Verge Of A Waterfall-Style Decline
Photo Credit: Forbes Business

In the past few hours, gold sliced right below the $1,200 support level that I showed earlier this month:

Source: Finviz

Though silver took a hit, it’s still above its $18 support, but it’s a fast-moving market, so a break below this level can happen quickly:

Now that gold broke below its support level, another sharp decline – including what I call a “waterfall-style decline” – is looking increasingly likely. I suspect that another wave of selling may commence when the Asian precious metals trading session starts in a few hours from now (it’s Thursday afternoon in New York as I write this). If I was planning to short gold, I would make sure that I have a stop-loss order in place to exit the trade in case gold manages to rise back above the $1,200 level, creating a bear trap.

As I showed in my last gold and silver analysis, gold mining stocks experienced a serious technical breakdown in late-November, and I said that gold mining stocks have a tendency to lead the gold market. It looks like this indicator is on the verge of proving its worth once again, even though it is still early.

Source: Stockcharts.com

If gold’s technical breakdown fully plays out, the next support level (and thus price projection) is at $1,000, which is both the 2009 highs as well as a psychologically important round number, which matters a great deal in financial markets:

Why is gold dropping despite all of the central bank money printing in recent years? I have a very different take on this issue than most commentators: I believe that global central bank stimulus is creating what I call a Bubblecovery or a bubble-driven economic recovery that is fooling the whole world into becoming less fearful, which is reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven. I believe that the eventual ending of the Bubblecovery will cause another global economic crisis that will prove to be highly beneficial for gold, even though gold may have further downside in meantime.

As a reminder, if gold manages to break back above its $1,200 support level, I would no longer be inclined to hold a bearish short-term view on it.

Please follow me on Twitter, Google+ and like my Facebook page to keep up with the latest bubble news and my related commentary.

(Disclaimer: All information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be relied on for making any investment decisions.)

Source: Forbes Business

 
 
 

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/30" rel="author">Forbes</a>
Forbes is among the most trusted resources for the world's business and investment leaders, providing them the uncompromising commentary, concise analysis, relevant tools and real-time reporting they need to succeed at work, profit from investing and have fun with the rewards of winning.

 

blog comments powered by Disqus

Latest stories

NASDAQ is Back at 2000 Dot-Com Bubble Level
NASDAQ is Back at 2000 Dot-Com Bubble Level
The Dot-Com force is back at the NASDAQ. It took Silicon Valley 15 years to bring back the NASDAQ to the Dot-Com Bubble Levels. With startup valuations in the billions becoming the norm, Wall Street is following up with driving up the value of public traded tech companies.
 
 
Bill Gates Tops Forbes Billionaires List Again
Bill Gates Tops Forbes Billionaires List Again
Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates is back on top of the Forbes Billionaires list.
 
 
$75,000 Apple Watch revealed
$75,000 Apple Watch revealed
When Apple's designs are not exclusive enough then there are 3rd parties who add gold and diamonds to the iGadget to make them precious. Brikk announced the Lux Watch, a diamond studded version of the Apple Watch.
 
 
Sony will not Sell Off TV And Mobile Spinoffs
Sony will not Sell Off TV And Mobile Spinoffs
Sony President Kazuo Hirai clarified on Wednesday that the company will not immediately sell off the spun out TV and mobile phone business.