The New #4 Most Shorted Dow Component: IBM

Apr 29 2014, 10:02am CDT | by

The most recent short interest data has been released by the NASDAQ for the 04/15/2014 settlement date, and we here at Dividend Channel like to sift through this fresh data and order the underlying components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average by “days to cover.” There are a number of ways to look at short data, for example the total number of shares short; but one metric that we find particularly useful is the “days to cover” metric because it considers both the total shares short and the average daily volume of shares typically traded. The number of shares short is then compared to the average daily volume, in order to calculate the total number of trading days it would take to close out all of the open short positions if every share traded represented a short position being closed.

In our new rank based on the most recent short interest data from NASDAQ, International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) has taken over the position of #4 most shorted Dow component, from Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) which is now in the #5 spot.

The “days to cover” at 04/15/2014 was 5.13 for IBM, and 4.94 for DIS; this compares to the average across all Dow components of 3.17. The chart below shows the movement over time of the “days to cover” values of both IBM and DIS, versus the average Dow component.

Start slideshow:
Top 25 S.A.F.E. Dividend Stocks »/>

Below is a chart showing the relative positions of IBM versus DIS over time within the 30 Dow components, with #1 representing the component with the highest “days to cover” value (most heavily shorted) and #30 representing the component with the lowest “days to cover” value (least heavily shorted):

A stock with a high “days to cover” value compared to its peers would be considered to have a higher level of short interest as compared to those peers. This could mean short sellers are using the stock to hedge a long bet elsewhere, or could also mean that short sellers believe the price of the stock will decline. When short sellers eventually cover their positions, by definition there must be buying activity because a share that is currently sold short must be purchased to be covered. So investors tend to keep an eye on that “days to cover” metric, because a high value could predict a sharper price increase should the company put out some unexpectedly good news — short sellers might rush to cover positions, and if the “days to cover” number is high, it is more difficult to close those positions without sending the stock higher until the higher price produces enough sellers to generate the necessary volume.

Below is a three month price history chart comparing the stock performance of IBM vs. DIS:

According to the ETF Finder at ETFChannel.com, IBM and DIS collectively make up 10.67% of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) which is up by about 0.4% on the day Tuesday.

See what other ETFs contain both IBM and DIS »

 
 
 

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/30" rel="author">Forbes</a>
Forbes is among the most trusted resources for the world's business and investment leaders, providing them the uncompromising commentary, concise analysis, relevant tools and real-time reporting they need to succeed at work, profit from investing and have fun with the rewards of winning.

 

blog comments powered by Disqus

Latest stories

Microsoft and Yahoo announce new Search Deal with Big Changes
Microsoft and Yahoo announce new Search Deal with Big Changes
Bing is now the #2 search engine with 20% marketshare behind Google. On the heel of this news, Microsoft and Yahoo announce a new search deal.
 
 
Bloomberg Terminals go down affecting Traders Worldwide
Bloomberg Terminals go down affecting Traders Worldwide
Bloomberg terminals went down in London and affected the traders dealing on the terminal worldwide.
 
 
Google celebrates 155th Anniversary of the Pony Express with Doodle Game
Google celebrates 155th Anniversary of the Pony Express with Doodle Game
Google is stealing your time today with a fun Google Doodle Game. You must delivery 100 letters as a Pony Express rider.
 
 
Amazon X-Ray for Movies and TV Shows comes to Fire TV
Amazon X-Ray for Movies and TV Shows comes to Fire TV
“Who’s that guy?”, “What’s she been in?”, or “What is that song?” Never have that problem again with X-Ray on Amazon Fire TV.